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EnergyReader · 2026-09-02 16:04

Russia imports Indian gasoline as refinery strikes cut seaborne exports by half

By EnergyReader Newsroom ·
Russia imports Indian gasoline as refinery strikes cut seaborne exports by half Moscow's first-ever Indian gasoline cargo signals deepening fuel crisis, with product exports down 54.7% year-on-year and summer demand near 120,000 tons daily. Russia received its first gasoline cargo from India on Monday (2026-08-17), a roughly 68,000-metric-ton shipment that marks an unprecedented reversal for a major oil exporter now scrambling to cover domestic shortages after Ukrainian drone strikes knocked out refining capacity across at least 10 regions.6 The import matters because it confirms the damage to Russian refining is not a brief disruption but a sustained capacity loss reshaping product flows. Seaborne petroleum-product exports fell 33.3% in July from June and 54.7% from July 2025, according to Reuters calculations based on LSEG data, as refinery outages reduced available cargoes.6 Wholesale gasoline prices on the St Petersburg exchange have fallen by an average 20% since the beginning of August, suggesting the imports are providing some relief. But that masks the underlying problem: a country of 143 million people consumes up to 120,000 metric tons of gasoline per day during the summer months, according to a Reuters estimate.6 Russia plans to import around 400,000 tons of gasoline monthly from various countries, an industry source said, including neighbouring Belarus, which has already been shipping fuel. Two tankers carrying parcels of 30,000 to 40,000 tons each have been sent, another source added.2 The Indian cargo alone covers barely half a day of Russian summer consumption. Even at the planned monthly import volume of 400,000 tons, imports would replace only about 11% of peak daily demand. The scale of refinery damage explains the shortfall. Ukrainian strikes have hit major plants across the country this year, with simultaneous attacks causing particular distress because refineries normally cover an outage by redirecting products from another region, drawing down inventories or holding back export cargoes.4 President Vladimir Putin acknowledged in June (2026) that fuel supply problems persist for motorists and businesses, including queues at gas stations, as Moscow weighs measures to stabilize the domestic market after refinery outages.1 The list of halted operations is long. The Salavat petrochemical complex in the Urals region of Bashkortostan stopped on July 14 following a drone attack. The Syzran refinery on the Volga halted after a July 12 strike damaged a primary processing unit. The Saratov refinery stopped oil processing on July 9.5 The cumulative effect on crude production is visible in OPEC data. Russia cut oil output by 61,000 barrels per day in June compared to May, bringing it down to 8.928 million bpd, which is 834,000 bpd below the OPEC+ plan, according to the organization's report.3 The Urals discount tells part of the story. Urals crude traded at $77.98/bbl as of Tuesday (2026-09-01) against ICE Brent front-month at $95.38/bbl on Wednesday (2026-09-02), a discount that reflects both the sanctions environment and reduced Russian export capacity. The gasoline import figures from industry sources carry some uncertainty. One source said at least 60,000 metric tons of gasoline would be delivered to Russian ports, without specifying a timeline.2 What traders should watch now is whether the import volumes scale up as planned and whether Belarus ramps deliveries ahead of the autumn maintenance season, when Russian refineries typically schedule turnarounds on top of the war damage. The 20% drop in St Petersburg wholesale prices since early August suggests the market believes imports are landing. But with export volumes down by more than half year-on-year, Moscow is choosing between feeding domestic pumps and preserving its position in seaborne product markets. It cannot easily do both.
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