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Weekend Edition

May 16, 2026
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The Big Story briefing 7 min read

The Shale Capitulation: Why Record US Production Is Actually a Crisis Signal

# The Shale Capitulation: Why Record US Production Is Actually a Crisis Signal American oil producers stopped believing in their own business model somewhere between Thanksgiving and Christmas 2025. The rig count dropped from 415 to 386 during those six weeks—a 7% collapse—even as West Texas Interm...

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